Germany is on track to miss its 2020 decarbonisation commitments by a huge margin, with swelling diesel consumption one of the culprits, according to new research from German environmental NGO Green Budget Germany.
To meet its emissions reduction commitments, Germany needs to slash its output of carbon dioxide by 40% to 750mn t by 2020, relative to a 1990 baseline of 1.248bn t. 2015 saw German carbon emissions instead rise from 902mn t in 2014 to 912mn t, leaving German emissions effectively higher than they were in 2008. German emissions cuts since 1990 currently amount to around 27%.
Liquid mineral oil emissions are the largest direct contributor to Germany’s overall carbon footprint, supplying 27% of the country’s carbon pollution in 2015, a modest 1% drop relative to the carbon footprint of mineral oil in 2014.
German heavy fuel oil sales rose by 21.1% YoY, with diesel consumption up 3.7% YoY. Despite the rise in diesel consumption, demand for biodiesel in Germany ironically declined during the first year of the country’s new GHG-calibrated biofuels mandate, reflecting the industry’s swift response to its ability to monetise GHG saving points for the first time.
Headline GHG savings have quickly risen in the German market for first generation vegetable oil-based biodiesels in particular. Germany’s GHG mandate meanwhile will retread 2015’s 3.5% mandated GHG saving this year, with the mandate set to add half a percent to hit a 4% carbon saving next year en route to the 6% GHG cut mandated for road transport fuels under the Fuel Quality Directive.
Mineral oil also contributes to pollution from greenhouse gases methane, nitrous oxide and hydrofluorocarbons which collectively supplied another 12% of Germany’s GHG footprint.
MS – 15/03/2016